As you may know, the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC) is overseeing a $4.3 billion Water System Improvement Program (WSIP) aimed at upgrading and seismically retrofitting the aging Hetch Hetchy water system to improve the systems' resilience to earthquakes. As part of WISP, the SFPUC preferred alternative includes a proposal to divert up to 25 million more gallons of water per day from the upper Tuolumne River (designated as a Wild and Scenic River) to meet projected water demands through the year 2030.
My principal concerns with selection of this alternative are that:
1. The SFPUC is coupling a necessary and broadly supported program (seismic upgrades) with a highly controversial and unrelated element (water diversion from the Tuolumne). I strongly believe that public policy decisions should be based on their individual merits and not by coupling them to unrelated policy decisions. While water supply is an important issue, it is controversial and may well derail or delay the important seismic upgrades. Note that Tuolumne County may sue the SFPUC over the water diversion issue, a lengthy court battle could delay the upgrades beyond the next earthquake and would drive up the cost of the seismic upgrades.
2. Their projected water demand analysis would benefit from additional study.
For additional information on the need for a more refined analysis of regional water demand and the potential for water conservation, efficiency and recycling to meet more of that demand see the report from the Pacific Studies Institute (http://www.tuolumne.org/content/fmd/files/Appendix_A.pdf) which concludes:
"Our analysis, however, reveals that current studies may significantly overestimate future regional demand for water and underestimate the potential for cost-effective demand management.
A straightforward re-examination of conservation scenarios, using more plausible employment projections, more accurate non-residential water use estimates, and a price-driven conservation component would likely produce a more realistic 2030 demand forecast and identify priority policies for cost-effective efficiency improvements, recycling, and reuse."